The Hidden Secrets of Successful Stock Market Trading Rules - Fine-tuning Your Stop Losses
There are two cardinal successful stock market
trading rules that I am sure you are quite familiar with
by now.
The first of the two most common stock market
trading rules are to cut your losses short. The second
of the two most common successful stock market
trading rules are to let your profits run. However, you
can take it one-step further by fine-tuning your trailing
stop losses, and becoming more risk seeking once
your stock is in profit. Increasing your risks, at the
right time, can allow you to get all the profit you
possibly can out of your system. You may wish to test
the effects of these successful stock market trading
rules by having a wider trailing stop loss than your
initial stop, and see how this is reflected in your
system.
For example, you could set your initial stop loss at
two ATR but set your trailing stop loss as three ATR.
This allows the stock, once it`s in profit, a little bit
more room to move. You`re still limiting your risk at
the beginning of the trade by keeping a tight stop
loss; however you`re going to become risk seeking in
a profitable situation. That is to say you`ll be willing to
risk more once you`re already in profit.
Personally, I think this is one of the many successful
stock market trading rules you can use to take it a
step further than most people are willing to go. With
this strategy, I also mix and match my stop loss
methods. For example, in one of my stock market
trading rules, I set my initial stop loss at 2.5 ATR, but
my trailing stop loss is calculated using a completely
different method. I use what`s known as the lowest
low stop. The way this stop loss works is you find the
lowest low in the last X number of periods, and base
your trailing stop loss on it.
Now, for that trend following system, I actually find the
lowest low in the last 40 days. I then position my stop
one cent below this low. It`s almost as though it`s
consulting the price action itself by identifying where
the lowest low is, and this can be highly effective.
Many times my stop has been set one cent below a
support line.
The way this trailing stop loss works is that on each
day a new trading day is added to the chart, and one
of the old days drop off. I then find the lowest low in
the last 40 days, and reposition my stop at that point,
if it needs to be repositioned. This stop has been
extremely valuable for me, and it may be a stop loss
that you may want to consider testing.
But, before you go looking for that perfect trailing stop
loss, realize that in it`s own way, it`s very similar to
the initial stop. There is no perfect stop that will
guarantee to get you out of the stock at the perfect
time, and save you the most profit.
Sometimes it will work for you. Other times it won`t.
The real key and secret of having a stop loss and an
initial stop do their best for you is not how you
calculate it, it`s just having them in place.
You need to find an initial and a trailing stop loss that
you`re comfortable with. You also need to
understand how they work so that the actions they
direct you to take makes sense to you. How do you
find a stop that you`re comfortable with?
Test them. Pick out a whole lot of charts of stocks that
you`ve been looking to trade, and marking where you
would receive an entry signal, set various initial stops
and trailing stop losses. Progress through the trade,
revaluing your trailing stop loss and see which one
works the best.
Often successful stock market trading rules are
designed with simple concepts that works best at this
point. When you base your system on understanding,
rather than optimization, you are more likely to stick
with it. If you can come up with a good,
straightforward set of your own stock market trading
rules, you will be able to apply it across a number of
markets on most trading instruments. Really, when
designing any system around a set of stock market
trading rules, all components should apply to this
same principle. You want to keep things as simple as
possible, that way it`s robust and can be applied to
any market. As long as you follow this underlying
principle, you`ll be on the right track.
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David Jenyns is recognized as the leading expert when it
comes to designing profitable trading systems.
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