Analysts Speculate IT Tech Trends for 2008
What are the experts predicting for tech trends in 2008? At the
recent Gartner Symposium/ITxpo held last October in Orlando, more
than 6000 senior business and IT strategists from virtually all
major industries gathered for the industry's largest conference
to gain the latest advice on driving profits and performance with
IT. Attendees rely on the Gartner Symposium/ITxpo for their
annual planning and to gain insight into how their organizations
can best use IT to address business challenges and improve
operational efficiency.
Reflecting Gartner's very latest research findings, the analysts
projected the 10 technologies likely to play a 'strategic' role
in 2008. Gartner defines a strategic technology as one "with the
potential for significant impact on the enterprise in the next
three years." In addition Gartner also looks at "high potential
for disruption to IT or the business, the need for a major dollar
investment, or the risk of being late to adopt."
"Companies should factor these technologies into their strategic
planning process by asking key questions and making deliberate
decisions about them during the next two years," said David
Cearley, vice president and distinguished analyst at Gartner.
"Sometimes the decision will be to do nothing with a particular
technology. In other cases it will be to continue investing in
the technology at the current rate. In still other cases, the
decision may be to test/pilot or more aggressively adopt/deploy
the technology. The important thing is to ask the question and
proactively plan."
Here's a look at the top 10 tech trends, and what Gartner had to
say about them:
Green IT: The focus of Green IT that came to the forefront in
2007 will increase in 2008. As the impact on power grids, carbon
emissions from increased use and other environmental impacts are
under investigation, companies should be mindful of potential
regulations that could limit the building of data centers, and
should be prepared with backup plans for handling growing data
demands.
Unified Communications: At present only 20 percent of the
installed base with PBX has migrated to IP telephony, with more
doing some sort of trial testing. Gartner says that over the
next three years the majority of corporations will migrate to
Internet Protocol telephony, resulting in a major change in voice
communications.
Business Process Modeling: Top-level process services must be
defined jointly by a set of roles (which include enterprise
architects, senior developers, process architects and/or process
analysts). A key to success will be an organization's ability
to bring these roles together, whether they be process or service
designated. Gartner also expects business process management
software suites to better complement SOA applications
development.
Metadata Management: Over the next three years, companies working
to integrate both customer data and product data will link these
master data management efforts together in an overall enterprise
information management (EIM) strategy. According to Gartner "This
critical part of a company's information infrastructure will
enable optimization, abstraction, and semantic reconciliation of
metadata to support reuse, consistency, integrity and
shareability." Metadata management, Gartner notes, also extends
into SOA software development projects with service registries
and application development repositories.
Virtualization 2.0: Virtualization technologies can improve IT
resource utilization, but with the addition of automation
technologies-with service-level, policy-based active
management-even greater improvements are possible. "Resource
efficiency can improve dramatically, flexibility can become
automatic based on requirements, and services can be managed
holistically, ensuring high levels of resiliency," Gartner
says.
Mashup and Composite Apps: Over the next 3 years, Web mashups
will be the way companies create composite enterprise
applications, Gartner predicts. Mashup technologies will evolve
significantly over the next five years, and application leaders
must take this evolution into account when evaluating the impact
of mashups and in formulating an enterprise mashup strategy.
Web Platform and Web-Oriented Architecture:
Software-as-a-Service, in which applications are available
on-demand over the Web, is becoming a sensible option for many
companies. Emerging Web platforms, Gartner says, will provide
service-based access to information, applications, and business
processes through Web-based "cloud computing" environments.
Companies must also look beyond SaaS to examine how Web platforms
will impact their business in 3-5 years.
Computing Fabric: According to Gartner researchers, "A computing
fabric is the evolution of server design beyond the interim
stage, blade servers, that exists today. The next step in this
progression is the introduction of technology to allow several
blades to be merged operationally over the fabric, operating as a
larger single system image that is the sum of the components from
those blades. The fabric-based server of the future will treat
memory, processors, and I/O cards as components in a pool,
combining and recombining them into particular arrangements to
suit the owner's needs." The researcher added, "For example a
large server can be created by combining 32 processors and a
number of memory modules from the pool, operating together over
the fabric to appear to an operating system as a single fixed
server."
Real World Web: The term "real world Web" is informal, referring
to places where information from the Web is applied to the
particular location, activity or context in the real world.
Gartner states, "It is intended to augment the reality that a
user faces, not to replace it as in virtual worlds. It is used in
real-time based on the real world situation, not prepared in
advance for consumption at specific times or researched after the
events have occurred." It gives the example of a navigation
unit that adjusts the information it delivers as a car or boat
moves around. Gartner sees real world Web application improving
many business processes and creating new revenue streams.
Social Software: The Web 2.0 market will go through a lot of
changes between now and 2010, Gartner says, and will experience
considerable flux with continued product innovation and new
entrants, resulting in considerable vendor consolidation.
However, the research firm does see social networking being
adopted by many enterprises to augment traditional
collaboration.
According to Gartner, "These 10 opportunities should be
considered in conjunction with many proven, fully-matured
technologies, as we as others that did not make this list, but
can provide value for many companies," said Carl Claunch, vice
president at Gartner. "For example, real-time enterprises
providing advanced devices for a mobile workforce will consider
next-generation smartphones to be a key technology, in addition
to the value that this list might offer."
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