Day Trading Stocks Successfully Using Day Type Price Patterns
If you have ever day traded stocks then most likely there
have been times when you received a day trading signal from
your system to go long a stock at the same time that the
market indices (i.e., S&P, Dow, and Nasdaq) were solidly
trending down. Or maybe, your system produced a short signal
on a stock when the overall stock market was in a runaway
uptrend. For most day traders, taking trades against the
currents of the market indices leaves an uncomfortable
feeling in the stomach. The decision about whether you
should take a particular entry signal can be improved by
understanding day type price patterns.
It is true that the market indices behave differently from
one day to another. However, there are recurring and
predictable day types that appear over and over again. Being
aware of the type of day that is setting up for the Dow, S&P,
and Nasdaq before you enter a trade, will help you make
better decisions that are in tune with the flow of the day's
market dynamics. Understanding day types will make it easier
for you to decide whether you should take a trade or avoid
it altogether. This will, in turn, lead you to placing more
effective and higher quality trades.
Markets are in a constant state of flux between trending
activity and range-bound activity. On certain days the
market indices may move in one particular direction for the
entire session while on other days the indices are void of
any particular market direction. Ignoring a trending day
type may cause you to take low-probability counter-trend
trades against a strongly trending day simply because your
system told you to do so. Conversely, ignoring a range-bound
type of day, may cause you to make the common mistake of only
taking trend trades when it is safe to take both trend trades
and counter-trend trades. The ability to switch modes from
trend trading to counter-trend trading based on the type of
day that is setting up will make you a more adaptable and
effective day trader.
The following five general day type price patterns can help
you decide whether you should play one side of the market or
both sides, either long or short. The patterns provided below
are for a bullish market, however, you can simply reverse the
logic for a bearish market.
Trend Day. The market index opens strong to the upside and
continues trading higher through-out the day without only
minor pullbacks. Any declines in the market index are only
pullbacks within the uptrend. Alternatively, the market
moves haphazardly but steadfastly upwards over the course of
the day. You will "typically" see NYSE Advancing issues
trouncing NYSE Declining Issues and NYSE Up Volume trouncing
NYSE Down Volume. Typically, both Advancing Issues and Up
Volume will be greater than 75%. You should seek to take
only long trades during a bullish Trend Day.
Range-Bound Day. The market index trades sideways within a
range over the course of the day. There isn't a sustained
trend in any single direction. NYSE Advancing issues will be
about the same as NYSE Declining Issues and NYSE Up Volume
will be about the same as NYSE Down Volume. It is fine to
take both long and short trades during a Range-Bound Day.
Thrusting Day. The market index opens strong to the upside,
but then trades in a channel starting around noon (or 11:00
am est.), and continues trading sideways both up and down
for the remainder of the day. NYSE Advancing Issues and NYSE
Up Volume will trounce NYSE Declining Issues and NYSE Down
Volume, respectively, in the beginning of the session, but
may then peter-out. It is OK to take both long and short
trades during a Thrusting Day.
Range-Explosion Day. The market index trades sideways in a
range for most of the day, but then suddenly breaks-out to
the upside in the latter half of the day. NYSE Advancing
issues will usually be about the same as NYSE Declining
Issues, and NYSE Up Volume will usually be about the same as
NYSE Down Volume. It is fine to take both long and short
trades during a Range-Explosion Day.
Reversing Day. The market index opens strong to the upside,
but then suddenly reverses in the opposite direction either
soon after the open, over the course of the day, or near the
end of the day. NYSE Advancing Issues and NYSE Up Volume will
typically trounce NYSE Declining Issues and NYSE Down Volume,
respectively, in the beginning of the session but may then
peter-out or potentially reverse. It is OK to take both long
and short trades during a Reversing Day.
Apply these patterns to the market indices (i.e., Dow, S&P,
and Nasdaq) throughout the day. When you receive a day
trading signal from your system to enter a particular stock,
consider the pattern that exists at the time of the signal to
help you decide whether or not to take the trade.
About the Author:
Monti Simmons is a private trader with more than 10 years of
trading experience. He is the President of Sabertooth
Trading, a commercial software developer that creates
effective day trading software to help retail and
professional traders succeed at day trading. For more
information, go to =3D> www.sabertoothtrading.com
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