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occasions where you haven’t settled your contracts, you would buy gold
on the spot market at $300/oz. and make the delivery, and you still
would be profiting $5/oz. Finally, if you actually had the gold in your
possession from the beginning, you could simply deliver it knowing
that considering the spot price of $300/oz. you made a good move by
selling those contracts at $305/oz.
Convergence
As a contract nears its maturity, its price gets closer and closer to the
spot price of its underlying commodity. Suppose gold is currently
trading at $300/oz. in the spot market. It is then conceivable that gold
contracts maturing in three months would trade at $305/oz. This is
purely based on the belief of the traders that gold would indeed be
trading at $305/oz. in three months. Now if gold continues to stay at
$300/oz., those contract prices would continue to shrink as they get
closer to maturity. With two weeks to go and gold still trading at
$300/oz., those contracts may be worth $300.50/oz. Finally at maturity,
those contract prices will be exactly the same price as the spot price of
gold at that time. So if at maturity gold is still trading at $300/oz. on the
spot market, those mature contracts will also be worth $300/oz. This is
known as convergence, where the price of the futures and their
underlying commodities converge at maturity. Now you may wonder
which one actually moves closer to the other. In reality it makes no
difference. Both the futures and their underlying commodities affect
each other’s prices, and in the end supply and demand set the tone for
the convergence price.
Leverage And Margin
You must be wondering how the average person can begin trading
futures. After all, one future gold contract at $305/oz. is worth roughly …
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