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adds one more. The PEG ratio is based on the P/E ratio with one more
important factor thrown in: earnings growth. As explained in the last
section, the P/E ratio has always been a good gauge to value stocks, but
many have come to believe (and to some extent correctly) that it cannot
be applied to stocks across the board. The P/E ratio is a very effective
tool when gauging mature industries such as energy, transportation,
and some industrials. But it falls short when it comes to other industries
such as the high-tech. It may be fine to gauge a railroad stock using its
P/E ratio - the company is financially healthy and delivers modest
earnings growth of 5% year after year. But should you expect a high-tech
stock delivering annual growth of 40% to have the same P/E ratio?
Both companies may have the same EPS this year, but chances are the
high-tech company's earnings would far outstrip that of the railroad
company within a couple of years. Given that fact, it would not make
sense for both stocks to be valued the same way. There is something to
be said for the future growth potential of the company when valuing its
stock.
Enter the PEG ratio which is calculated by dividing the P/E ratio of
a stock by the company's percentage annual earnings growth. So how
would one determine the growth rate of a company? Simply look at the
company's earnings growth for the past few years and its earning
estimates for the coming year. Of course past performance and
estimates are no guarantee of future results, but they are the best
indicators we've got. A PEG ratio of one could indicate that the stock is
fairly valued, less than one would mean an undervalued stock (good
buy), and more than one could mean an overvalued stock (hold or sell).
Let's look at an example. In year 2000 Cisco with a P/E ratio of 160
and annual EPS growth of 25% had a PEG ratio of 160 / 25 = 6.4. Now
per our last statement this stock could have been considered overvalued
and not worthy of investing in. Neither its P/E ratio nor its PEG ratio …
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