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sale of ten gold contracts will probably fetch more money than you
originally paid for your contracts and you end up with a profit;
otherwise, the net result will be loss (or a wash at best).
Why would you decide to take a loss by offsetting your contracts
prior to the delivery date? The answer is that you may believe that gold
prices are headed lower and the longer you wait, the less your ten
contracts may be worth. So you may decide to cut your losses and close
your position. Of course, you may be wrong and gold prices may
rebound. That is one of the risks you must be willing to accept when
you trade any financial instrument. No one can accurately predict the
market all the time.
Now here comes the complicated part of futures — and it’s really not
so complicated if you think about it logically. The same way you can
buy contracts and close your position by selling them, you can sell
contracts and close your position by buying them. Just like a short
position cancels a long, a long position cancels a short. It is the same
concept, only in reverse (think of it as a loan repayment).
Using our example of gold contracts, when you are short ten gold
futures contracts, you are obligated to deliver 1,000 ounces of gold at
the maturity date of the contracts. You can instead close (offset) your
position by buying ten gold contracts (with the same specs) prior to the
delivery date of your original contracts. Thus you would have no
obligation to deliver any gold as your position is now closed. Virtually
all futures contracts are settled prior to the delivery date so normally
you would not have to worry about obtaining 1,000 ounces of gold to
deliver come maturity date. But let’s say you decide to wait until the
delivery date of the ten gold contracts. At that time if the price of gold
has moved lower, you buy and deliver 1,000 ounces of gold at the going
price and therefore realize a profit by keeping a portion of your original …
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