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wholesale level, and which are ultimately used for products sold at the
retail level. A rise in PPI gives an early indication of rising inflation.
Consumer Price Index (CPI) — Reported monthly by the Bureau of
Labor Statistics, the CPI gauges the overall rate of price change for
goods and services such as food and beverages, apparel, transportation,
entertainment, education, and personal care products. The CPI is often
regarded as the benchmark value to gauge inflation since it covers a
broad range of product prices at the retail level. As would be expected,
a rise in CPI means a rise in inflation.
Consumer Credit — Reported monthly by the Fed, this indicator
measures the amount of debt taken on by the consumers excluding
housing (e.g. automobiles, credit cards, etc.). An increase in consumer
credit signals a rise in demand for goods and services contributing to
increased inflation.
Retail Sales — Produced monthly by the Commerce Department,
this report measures the total net sales of retail stores. An increase in
retail sales signifies a rise in consumer spending which may give a boost
to inflation.
Factory Orders — This is reported monthly by the Commerce
Department and measures the total volume of orders received by
factories. It also includes inventory and backlog data for the
manufacturing sector. A rise in factory orders can signal higher
inflation.
Durable Goods Orders — This is also reported monthly by the
Commerce Department and measures the orders placed for big ticket
items such as cars, large appliances, and computers. A rise in durable
goods orders indicates strength in the manufacturing sector as well as a
rise in consumer confidence in the economy, since big ticket items
generally carry large price tags. Such a rise could signify a possible
upward move for inflation.
Consumer Sentiment Index — Published semi-monthly by the
University of Michigan, it indicates the optimism level of the …
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