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Suppose you had sold 2 FMJ contracts for $2 premium with 20 days
to go with Ford trading at $50 at the time. Just like writing calls, three
scenarios could happen:
- You could settle those contracts. If within 10 days Ford stock has
fallen to $40, those FMJ contracts may now go for $11 premium
($10 intrinsic + $1 time). To settle your contracts you would
have to pay $2,200 to buy 2 FMJ contracts. Considering that
your proceeds from the original sale was $400, your net loss
would be $1,800. At this point you may say why not wait until
expiration so you end up with less loss? If at expiration Ford still
is at $40, those 200 shares will be put to you at $50 per share.
That means you would have to buy them at $50 and then you
may decide to sell (unload) them at $40 for a loss of $2,000.
Counting the $400 proceeds, you net loss would then be $1,600
rather then the $1,800 loss if you had settled them earlier. True,
but what if Ford had continued to fall below $40. Then you may
be looking at a bigger loss than $1,800 come expiration date. Of
course Ford could bounce back from the $40 price, making you
wish you hadn't panicked and settled those puts. I wish I had a
good answer for you but these are the complexities of options.
You must look at your individual situation and based on your
speculation decide whether you should cut you losses at a point
or ride it out in the hopes of less losses or even profits. If Ford
indeed turned around and went to $52 within 10 days, those
FMJ options might now go for a $1 premium (probably less but
let's keep the example simple). Now you can go ahead and buy
2 JMJ contracts for $200 to settle your short position. In this
case your net profit would be $400 (original proceeds) - $200 =
$200. So depending on where the stock stands you may have a
profit or loss (or break-even) when you settle your contracts. …
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